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    Independence and Expected Waiting Time PYQs for GATE DA

    Solve 1+ Independence and Expected Waiting Time previous year questions for GATE DA with answers and detailed solutions. Free sample questions below.

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    Question 1
    2024 PYQ
    Level 3: Exam Standard
    A fair six-sided die (with faces numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) is repeatedly thrown
    independently.
    What is the expected number of times the die is thrown until two consecutive throws
    of even numbers are seen?
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    Independence and Expected Waiting Time PYQs for GATE DA

    Solve 1+ Independence and Expected Waiting Time previous year questions for GATE DA with answers and detailed solutions. Free sample questions below.

    Chapter Roadmap: Independence and Expected Waiting Time

    Your journey through this chapter
    1
    Independent Trials — the foundation
    What "no memory" really means, and why it matters.
    2
    Waiting for a single event
    The geometric distribution and the clean formula .
    3
    Why patterns break the simple formula
    Two consecutive successes is not the same as two independent successes.
    4
    The state method — your main weapon
    Define states by progress, write equations, solve.
    5
    Exam-ready patterns and traps
    Recognising the question type, avoiding the memoryless trap, and the HH vs HT surprise.
    End goal: given any "repeat until you see pattern X" question, you will set up the states and solve for the expected time in under two minutes.

    The Big Question: How Long Do I Wait?

    The setup

    • An experiment is repeated, independently, forever.
    • Each trial has a success probability (constant across trials).
    • You are waiting for some target: a single success, two successes in a row, a specific sequence, etc.
    The question
    Let be the number of trials until the target is first achieved. What is ?

    Two worlds

    Waiting for... Tool Typical answer shape
    A single success Geometric distribution
    A pattern (e.g. two in a row) State equations

    The first world is one line. The second world is where the real exam questions live.

    Independence and Expected Waiting Time: Solved Questions with Step-by-Step Explanations (1 Problems)

    Question 1 · Probability and Statistics · 2024 MCQ
    A fair six-sided die (with faces numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) is repeatedly thrown
    independently.
    What is the expected number of times the die is thrown until two consecutive throws
    of even numbers are seen?
    1. A.

      2

    2. B.

      4

    3. C.

      6

    4. D.

      8

    Correct Answer:

    C

    Step-by-Step Solution

    Insight: This is a "wait for a pattern" question — two consecutive evens. The trials are independent, so track progress toward the pattern using states, and write one equation per state.

    Exam route:

    Let (probability of even on a fair die).

    States: (no progress / last was odd), (last throw was even), (done — two consecutive evens).

    Let = expected additional throws from state .

    From : throw once. With prob get even ; with prob get odd .

    From : throw once. With prob get even (done, 0 more); with prob get odd .

    Substitute :

    Substitute into the second:

    .

    Answer: 6 (option C).

    Learning route:

    A fair die has 3 even faces (2, 4, 6) and 3 odd faces (1, 3, 5), so .

    We want the expected number of throws until we see two evens in a row.

    Define states by how much of the target pattern we have completed:

    • : no useful progress (we are at the start, or the last throw was odd).
    • : the last throw was even (we are one step into the pattern).
    • : we have just seen two consecutive evens (absorbing state, we stop).

    Let be the expected number of additional throws needed to reach starting from .

    From , we spend 1 throw. With probability we get even and move to ; with probability we get odd and stay in . So .

    From , we spend 1 throw. With probability we get even and reach (done, 0 more throws); with probability we get odd and fall back to (all progress lost). So .

    Solving the first equation: .

    Substituting into the second: .

    Therefore .

    The expected number of throws is 6.

    Wrong paths:

    • Option A (2): uses . This is the expected wait for a SINGLE even, not two consecutive.
    • Option B (4): uses . This treats two consecutive evens as two independent events, ignoring the sequential overlap of attempts.
    • Option D (8): uses . This incorrectly doubles the formula, perhaps thinking "two evens means multiply by 2".

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