Conditional Probability and Bayes' Theorem Previous Year Questions (PYQs) for GATE DA: 4+ Solved Questions with Step-by-Step Solutions

    Solve 4+ Conditional Probability and Bayes' Theorem previous year questions for GATE DA with answers and detailed solutions. Free sample questions below.

    Chapter Roadmap: Conditional Probability and Bayes

    Probability · Unit 1 · Chapter 2

    Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem

    Reverse the direction of inference. Update beliefs with evidence. Classify with posteriors.

    Core exam weapon
    Stage 01 · Foundation
    Conditional Probability & Multiplication Rule
    Reshape the sample space when information arrives.
    Stage 02 · Decomposition
    Law of Total Probability
    Break a hard event into a sum over cases.
    Stage 03 · Reversal
    Bayes' Theorem
    Infer causes from observed effects.
    Stage 04 · Application
    Posterior Classification & Naive Bayes
    From theorem to classifier, with misclassification risk.

    Conditional Probability, Bayes and Posterior Classification

    Topic 1 of 1 · Core

    Conditional Probability & Bayes' Theorem

    Condition on evidence. Reverse the inference. Classify with posteriors.

    01
    Conditioning intuition
    02
    Total probability
    03
    Bayes' theorem
    04
    Naive Bayes classifier

    Conditional Probability and Bayes' Theorem: Solved Questions with Step-by-Step Explanations (4 Problems)

    Question 1 · Probability and Statistics NAT
    A clinic specializes in testing for a disease D. The result of the test can be either positive or negative.

    A study revealed that if a person suffers from the disease D, the test result in that clinic comes out positive 80% of the time, and negative 20% of the time. If a person is not suffering from the disease D, the test comes out positive 10% of the time and negative 90% of the time. It is also known that among the general population, the disease D occurs in 30% of the individuals.

    If a person tests positive for D in that clinic, the probability that he/she actually suffers from the disease D is __________ . (Rounded off to two decimal places)
    Question 2 · Probability and Statistics NAT
    The naive Bayes classifier is used to solve a two-class classification problem with class-labels . Suppose the prior probabilities are and . Assuming a discrete feature space with

    and for a specific feature vector . The probability of misclassifying is
    (Round off to two decimal places)
    Question 3 · Probability and Statistics NAT
    There are three boxes containing white balls and black balls.

    Box-1 contains 2 black and 1 white balls.
    Box-2 contains 1 black and 2 white balls.
    Box-3 contains 3 black and 3 white balls.

    In a random experiment, one of these boxes is selected, where the probability of choosing Box-1 is , Box-2 is , and Box-3 is . A ball is drawn at random from the selected box. Given that the ball drawn is white, the probability that it is drawn from Box-2 is
    (Round off to two decimal places)
    Question 4 · Probability and Statistics NAT
    Consider two events T and S. Let denote the complement of the event T. The
    probability associated with different events are given as follows:

    Then, is ______ (rounded off to two decimal places).

    More previous year questions (pyqs) in this unit

    chapter
    Conditional Probability and Bayes' Theorem Previous Year Questions (PYQs) for GATE DA: 4+ Solved Questions with Step-by-Step Solutions

    Solve 4+ Conditional Probability and Bayes' Theorem previous year questions for GATE DA with answers and detailed solutions. Free sample questions below.

    A question from this chapter

    Question 1
    A clinic specializes in testing for a disease D. The result of the test can be either positive or negative.

    A study revealed that if a person suffers from the disease D, the test result in that clinic comes out positive 80% of the time, and negative 20% of the time. If a person is not suffering from the disease D, the test comes out positive 10% of the time and negative 90% of the time. It is also known that among the general population, the disease D occurs in 30% of the individuals.

    If a person tests positive for D in that clinic, the probability that he/she actually suffers from the disease D is __________ . (Rounded off to two decimal places)
    Question 2
    The naive Bayes classifier is used to solve a two-class classification problem with class-labels . Suppose the prior probabilities are and . Assuming a discrete feature space with

    and for a specific feature vector . The probability of misclassifying is
    (Round off to two decimal places)
    Question 3
    There are three boxes containing white balls and black balls.

    Box-1 contains 2 black and 1 white balls.
    Box-2 contains 1 black and 2 white balls.
    Box-3 contains 3 black and 3 white balls.

    In a random experiment, one of these boxes is selected, where the probability of choosing Box-1 is , Box-2 is , and Box-3 is . A ball is drawn at random from the selected box. Given that the ball drawn is white, the probability that it is drawn from Box-2 is
    (Round off to two decimal places)
    Question 4
    Consider two events T and S. Let denote the complement of the event T. The
    probability associated with different events are given as follows:

    Then, is ______ (rounded off to two decimal places).
    Free preview ends here

    Login to view the complete previous-year questions and solutions

    Creating an account is free. You get the rest of this chapter, step-by-step solutions, and a study plan built around the topics you are actually weak at.

    Why MastersUp

    Personalised first. High quality throughout.

    Most platforms hand everyone the same content. Here the content moves with your performance, topic by topic.

    Built around you, not around a syllabus PDF

    Every answer you give moves your topic-level intelligence rate. The next question, the next revision card and tomorrow's plan all change with it.

    Revision that hits your weak spots

    We only revise topics you have actually attempted and are still below the safe bar on — never the same chapter on repeat.

    Questions calibrated to the real exam

    Each question carries a measured toughness. You are served a rung above your current level, so practice keeps stretching you.

    Notes written for recall, not for volume

    Full lesson cards for first study, curated short-note cards for the last mile — with derivations, traps and exam patterns marked.

    One place for everything

    Notes, chapter practice, previous-year questions, test series and full-length papers — all feeding one picture of your preparation.

    Honest progress

    No vanity streaks. Progress here means chapters mastered and accuracy that held up on harder questions.

    Unlock the whole course

    Full notes and short notes, the complete question bank with worked solutions, mock tests, full-length papers, and an adaptive plan that rebuilds itself as you improve.