Insight: The centre O is inside △ABC if and only if the three points do not all lie in any single semicircle.
Exam route:
- For n independent uniform points on a circle, the probability that they all lie in some semicircle is 2n−1n.
- With n=3, P(all in some semicircle)=23−13=43.
- The complement is P(O inside △ABC)=1−43=41.
Learning route:
This is a geometric probability question on a circle, recognisable because points are chosen uniformly on a circumference and the event is a geometric containment condition. The key trigger words are "random on the circumference" and "contains the centre".
Step 1: Translate the geometric condition.
Draw any diameter through O. It splits the circle into two semicircles. If all three points A,B,C lie on the same side of some diameter, then △ABC is trapped in that semicircle and cannot surround O. Conversely, if no semicircle contains all three, the triangle must straddle every diameter, which forces O into its interior. Therefore:
O∈int(△ABC)⟺no semicircle contains all of A,B,C.
Step 2: Set up the complement.
Let E be the event that there exists some semicircle containing all three points. We want P(Ec)=1−P(E).
Step 3: Construct mutually exclusive sub-events using rotational symmetry.
For each point X∈{A,B,C}, define the event EX that all three points lie in the semicircle starting at X and going clockwise.
Since the points are distinct with probability 1, at most one such semicircle can contain all three points. Thus, EA,EB,EC are mutually exclusive.
P(E)=P(EA)+P(EB)+P(EC).
Step 4: Calculate P(EA).
Given A, the other two points B and C must fall in the clockwise semicircle starting at A. The probability of this is 21×21=41.
By symmetry, P(EB)=P(EC)=41.
So P(E)=43.
Step 5: Final probability.
P(Ec)=1−43=41.
Common wrong path: A student computes P(E)=43 and stops, reporting 43 as the answer. The error is forgetting that the question asks for the complement — centre inside means the points do NOT all fit in a semicircle.
Generalisation: For n uniform points on a circle, P(centre inside the convex hull)=1−2n−1n.
Verification: For n=2, the formula gives P(semicircle)=22=1, which is correct since any two points always fit in some semicircle. For n=3, the answer 41 lies in (0,1) and matches the known classical result.